How Likely Is Your Relationship to End?
How likely is your relationship to end?
Relationship dissolution rarely comes as a complete surprise โ it is typically preceded by months or years of declining satisfaction, eroding emotional connection, and deteriorating conflict quality. But these signals are often gradual enough that couples don't notice them until they have compounded significantly. This calculator provides a structured way to assess the current state of five key stability factors that research consistently links to relationship dissolution or survival. The five factors assessed โ Overall Satisfaction (25%), Conflict Resolution Quality (22%), Emotional Connection (20%), Shared Future Vision (18%), and Mutual Investment (15%) โ reflect decades of relationship research, particularly from the Gottman Institute, which has studied what distinguishes couples who stay together from those who separate. Of all factors, satisfaction and contempt (captured in conflict quality) are the two strongest predictors of relationship outcomes. The calculator produces an estimated dissolution risk percentage (not a prediction, but a diagnostic indicator), a pie chart showing which factors contribute most to risk, specific red flags when individual factors fall below critical thresholds, and a prioritized action plan for the dimensions driving the most risk. Use this tool for honest self-reflection โ answer based on the relationship as it currently is, not as it was at its best.
- ยทRisk % = inverse of weighted stability score with slight non-linear adjustment for extreme values
- ยทRatings should reflect current relationship reality, not its historical best or worst
- ยทIllustrative estimates only โ not a statistical prediction tool
- โYou are questioning the long-term viability of your relationship and want a structured assessment
- โYou want to identify which specific factors are creating the most risk
- โYou sense something is wrong but can not articulate what specifically
- โYou want to understand how close to (or far from) dissolution risk your relationship currently is
- โYou are deciding whether to invest in couples therapy or take other action
- โYou want to compare your perspective with your partner's by both taking the assessment independently
Jordan has been with Alex for 4 years. Things feel 'fine' โ no major conflicts, still together. But Jordan rates satisfaction at 3, emotional connection at 2, and future vision at 2. Conflict resolution at 3. Investment at 4. Overall risk score: 42% โ Moderate Risk. The pie chart shows emotional connection and future vision are contributing the largest portions of risk despite not being the highest-weight factors. The calculator flags the declining connection pattern and recommends a direct conversation about where each partner sees the relationship going โ a conversation they haven't had in over a year.
๐ Breakup Probability Calculator
How Likely Is Your Relationship to End?
Rate 5 research-backed stability factors to get an estimated dissolution risk percentage, a pie chart breakdown, and a personalized action plan.
Important: This calculator produces an illustrative risk estimate based on research-backed factors. It is not a prediction and does not determine relationship outcomes. Use it as a diagnostic tool for honest self-reflection, not as a verdict. Answer based on current reality, not best-case scenarios.
Rate each stability factor (1 = very poor, 5 = excellent)
Average
Average
Average
Average
Average
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- โRating based on the relationship's best moments rather than recent typical experience
- โUsing this as a verdict rather than a diagnostic โ high risk indicates what to address, not what will happen
- โNot considering professional support when multiple factors score very low
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