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Chapter 11 Recovery Calculator: How Much Will Creditors Actually Get?

Can your business survive Chapter 11 bankruptcy?

What This Does

Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganisation is fundamentally a negotiation about how much different classes of creditors will recover — and whether the reorganised business can feasibly generate the cash flows to fund the proposed repayment plan. Unlike Chapter 7 which liquidates everything and distributes proceeds, Chapter 11 keeps the business operating and asks creditors to accept a repayment plan that may pay them over 3-7 years at a fraction of what they are owed. The recovery rate varies dramatically by creditor class. Secured creditors — those with collateral backing their claims — typically recover 70-100% in reorganisation, while unsecured creditors frequently recover 10-50 cents on the dollar, and equity holders often recover nothing. The absolute priority rule governs the waterfall: each senior class must be paid in full (or consent to less) before a junior class receives anything. This calculator models a Chapter 11 reorganisation across the full creditor waterfall. It shows estimated recovery by class, compares reorganisation recovery against Chapter 7 liquidation recovery to test whether the plan meets the best-interest-of-creditors test, and models whether the reorganised business's projected EBITDA can service the proposed plan payments. It gives both business owners evaluating Chapter 11 and creditors evaluating whether to support a plan the quantitative framework to make informed decisions. Updated 2026-03-06 · Samir Messaoudi.

When Should You Use This?
  • You are considering Chapter 11 and want to model what creditors would recover under a reorganisation plan
  • You are a creditor evaluating a proposed Chapter 11 plan and want to compare recovery to Chapter 7 liquidation
  • You want to test whether your projected business cash flows can feasibly fund a repayment plan
  • You are in a Chapter 11 negotiation and want to model different plan structures for different creditor classes
  • You want to understand the absolute priority rule and creditor waterfall before entering reorganisation
  • You are evaluating whether to file Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganisation for a distressed business
Example Scenario

TechMakers LLC has $4.2M in total claims. Secured lender: $1.8M with collateral value $1.6M. Trade creditors: $1.4M unsecured. Subordinated debt: $600K. Equity: $400K deficit. Chapter 7 liquidation produces $1.9M total proceeds. Chapter 11 reorganisation plan: $3.1M over 5 years from projected $620K annual EBITDA. Secured creditor recovery: 89% reorganisation versus 81% liquidation. Unsecured: 43% versus 7%. Equity: 0% both paths. Plan DSCR: 1.24x — feasible.

⚖️ Chapter 11 Recovery Calculator

Ch.11 vs Ch.7 Waterfall · DSCR Feasibility · Creditor Recovery · Scenario Analysis

Absolute priority rule applied. Results update in real time as you change inputs.

📋 Creditor Claims

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📈 Business Projections

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About This Calculator

This Chapter 11 recovery calculator applies the absolute priority rule to compute creditor recovery under both Chapter 11 reorganization and Chapter 7 liquidation in real time from 8 inputs. Ch.11 waterfall: ch11TotalPlan = EBITDA x planYears. adminFees = ch11TotalPlan x adminFeePct. ch11Net = ch11TotalPlan - adminFees. securedCh11 = min(claim, collateral + ch11Net x 0.08). afterSec = ch11Net - securedCh11. unsecuredCh11 distributed pro-rata to unsecured/subordinated from afterSec. Ch.7: ch7Net = ch7Proceeds - adminFees. DSCR = EBITDA / (ch11Net / planYears). planFeasible = DSCR at least 1.15x. All 8 inputs update in real time via useEffect.

The Waterfall tab renders a grouped BarChart (Ch.11 solid vs Ch.7 lighter, 2 bars per class) with a full waterfall comparison table. The Distribution tab renders a donut PieChart of plan distribution (secured/unsecured/sub/admin) plus a horizontal BarChart comparing recovery percentages (Ch.11 vs Ch.7 per class, ReferenceLine at 25% floor). The Scenarios tab renders a stacked BarChart of 4 scenarios (Ch.11 base, Ch.7, +20% EBITDA, -20% EBITDA) with class color layers, plus a scenario detail table. The Insights tab shows 4 key findings and 4 action plan items.

Results are estimates only and do not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.

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Common Mistakes to Avoid
  • Assuming unsecured creditor recovery rates in Chapter 11 are similar to secured — unsecured typically recovers 10-50 cents on the dollar
  • Forgetting administrative and professional fees at the top of the waterfall — these consume 5-15% of assets before any creditor is paid
  • Not testing whether the plan meets the best-interest test for each creditor class individually
  • Using going-concern value rather than reorganisation value for the plan feasibility calculation
  • Underestimating the time value of deferred plan payments — 100% recovery over 7 years at no interest is worth far less than 100% today
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