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Chapter 11 Recovery Calculator: How Much Will Creditors Actually Get?

Can your business survive Chapter 11 bankruptcy?

What This Does

Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganisation is fundamentally a negotiation about how much different classes of creditors will recover β€” and whether the reorganised business can feasibly generate the cash flows to fund the proposed repayment plan. Unlike Chapter 7 which liquidates everything and distributes proceeds, Chapter 11 keeps the business operating and asks creditors to accept a repayment plan that may pay them over 3-7 years at a fraction of what they are owed. The recovery rate varies dramatically by creditor class. Secured creditors β€” those with collateral backing their claims β€” typically recover 70-100% in reorganisation, while unsecured creditors frequently recover 10-50 cents on the dollar, and equity holders often recover nothing. The absolute priority rule governs the waterfall: each senior class must be paid in full (or consent to less) before a junior class receives anything. This calculator models a Chapter 11 reorganisation across the full creditor waterfall. It shows estimated recovery by class, compares reorganisation recovery against Chapter 7 liquidation recovery to test whether the plan meets the best-interest-of-creditors test, and models whether the reorganised business's projected EBITDA can service the proposed plan payments. It gives both business owners evaluating Chapter 11 and creditors evaluating whether to support a plan the quantitative framework to make informed decisions. Updated 2026-03-06 Β· Samir Messaoudi.

When Should You Use This?
  • β†’You are considering Chapter 11 and want to model what creditors would recover under a reorganisation plan
  • β†’You are a creditor evaluating a proposed Chapter 11 plan and want to compare recovery to Chapter 7 liquidation
  • β†’You want to test whether your projected business cash flows can feasibly fund a repayment plan
  • β†’You are in a Chapter 11 negotiation and want to model different plan structures for different creditor classes
  • β†’You want to understand the absolute priority rule and creditor waterfall before entering reorganisation
  • β†’You are evaluating whether to file Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganisation for a distressed business
Example Scenario

TechMakers LLC has $4.2M in total claims. Secured lender: $1.8M with collateral value $1.6M. Trade creditors: $1.4M unsecured. Subordinated debt: $600K. Equity: $400K deficit. Chapter 7 liquidation produces $1.9M total proceeds. Chapter 11 reorganisation plan: $3.1M over 5 years from projected $620K annual EBITDA. Secured creditor recovery: 89% reorganisation versus 81% liquidation. Unsecured: 43% versus 7%. Equity: 0% both paths. Plan DSCR: 1.24x β€” feasible.

βš–οΈ Chapter 11 Recovery Calculator

Ch.11 vs Ch.7 Waterfall Β· DSCR Feasibility Β· Creditor Recovery Β· Scenario Analysis

Absolute priority rule applied. Results update in real time as you change inputs.

πŸ“‹ Creditor Claims

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πŸ“ˆ Business Projections

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About This Calculator

This Chapter 11 recovery calculator applies the absolute priority rule to compute creditor recovery under both Chapter 11 reorganization and Chapter 7 liquidation in real time from 8 inputs. Ch.11 waterfall: ch11TotalPlan = EBITDA x planYears. adminFees = ch11TotalPlan x adminFeePct. ch11Net = ch11TotalPlan - adminFees. securedCh11 = min(claim, collateral + ch11Net x 0.08). afterSec = ch11Net - securedCh11. unsecuredCh11 distributed pro-rata to unsecured/subordinated from afterSec. Ch.7: ch7Net = ch7Proceeds - adminFees. DSCR = EBITDA / (ch11Net / planYears). planFeasible = DSCR at least 1.15x. All 8 inputs update in real time via useEffect.

The Waterfall tab renders a grouped BarChart (Ch.11 solid vs Ch.7 lighter, 2 bars per class) with a full waterfall comparison table. The Distribution tab renders a donut PieChart of plan distribution (secured/unsecured/sub/admin) plus a horizontal BarChart comparing recovery percentages (Ch.11 vs Ch.7 per class, ReferenceLine at 25% floor). The Scenarios tab renders a stacked BarChart of 4 scenarios (Ch.11 base, Ch.7, +20% EBITDA, -20% EBITDA) with class color layers, plus a scenario detail table. The Insights tab shows 4 key findings and 4 action plan items.

Results are estimates only and do not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.

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Common Mistakes to Avoid
  • βœ•Assuming unsecured creditor recovery rates in Chapter 11 are similar to secured β€” unsecured typically recovers 10-50 cents on the dollar
  • βœ•Forgetting administrative and professional fees at the top of the waterfall β€” these consume 5-15% of assets before any creditor is paid
  • βœ•Not testing whether the plan meets the best-interest test for each creditor class individually
  • βœ•Using going-concern value rather than reorganisation value for the plan feasibility calculation
  • βœ•Underestimating the time value of deferred plan payments β€” 100% recovery over 7 years at no interest is worth far less than 100% today
Frequently Asked Questions

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